Project Chi-Square
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Is there a dependency between the starting gate position and whether a horse finishes "first" or "in the money"?
Problem I.
The following data represents the
starting gate positions and how the horses finished in terms of Win (first place),
Place
(second place), or Show (third place). The data (all races ran in 2007) was compiled at
in
Maywood, IL.
| Gate | 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 | 9 |
| Win | 182 | 181 | 150 | 181 | 157 | 81 | 47 | 35 | 67 |
| Place | 178 | 196 | 171 | 137 | 153 | 91 | 69 | 39 | 40 |
| Show | 142 | 168 | 165 | 132 | 147 | 112 | 101 | 65 | 47 |
| Total Starts | 1,077 | 1,077 | 1,077 | 1,077 | 1,077 | 1,069 | 1,010 | 785 | 429 |
A. Show all four
steps for each hypothesis test needed to test the claim. At a
0.05 level
of significance, test for the existence of this dependency between starting gate position and
whether
a horse finishes
"win (first)" or "Not win (not first)".
| Gate | 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 | 9 |
| Win | 182 | 181 | 150 | 181 | 157 | 81 | 47 | 35 | 67 |
| Not Win | 895 | 896 | 927 | 896 | 920 | 988 | 963 | 750 | 362 |
B. If a dependency exists between "winning
(first)" and
"starting position". Find 95% confidence
intervals for
the percentage of winning for each gate.
Hint:
See lesson on confidence intervals for proportions .
| Gate | 95% confidence interval |
| 1 | |
| 2 | |
| 3 | |
| 4 | |
| 5 | |
| 6 | |
| 7 | |
| 8 | |
| 9 |
C. According to your analysis, which starting position is most probable to produce a winner?
D. Show all four
steps for each hypothesis test needed to test the claim. At a 0.05 level
of significance, test for the existence of a dependency between starting gate position and
whether a
horse finishes "in the money" (win, place or show" or "out of the
money".)
| Gate | 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 | 9 |
| In the Money | 502 | 545 | 486 | 450 | 457 | 284 | 217 | 139 | 154 |
| Not In the Money | 575 | 532 | 591 | 627 | 620 | 785 | 793 | 646 | 266 |
E. If a dependency exists between "finish
in the money (win-place-show)" and "starting position".
Find a 95% confidence intervals for
the percentage of "finishing in the money" for each gate.
| Gate | 95% confidence interval |
| 1 | |
| 2 | |
| 3 | |
| 4 | |
| 5 | |
| 6 | |
| 7 | |
| 8 | |
| 9 |
F. According to your analysis, which
starting position is most probable to produce a horse
"finishing in the money"?
Problem II.
The following data represents the
starting gate positions and how the horses finished in terms of Win (first place), Place
(second place), or Show (third place). The data (all races ran in 2007) was compiled at
in Crete, IL.
| Gate | 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 | 9 | 10 |
| Win | 267 | 285 | 260 | 257 | 314 | 250 | 161 | 135 | 81 | 49 |
| Place | 281 | 259 | 269 | 241 | 282 | 266 | 172 | 148 | 84 | 50 |
| Show | 272 | 273 | 255 | 260 | 270 | 242 | 206 | 142 | 88 | 45 |
| Total Starts | 2,052 | 2,052 | 2,052 | 2,051 | 2,040 | 2,001 | 1,805 | 1,485 | 1,016 | 553 |
A. Show all four
steps for each hypothesis test needed to test the claim. At a
0.05 level
of significance, test for the existence of this dependency between starting gate position and
whether
a horse finishes
"win (first)" or "Not win (not first)".
| Gate | 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 | 9 | 10 |
| Win | 267 | 285 | 260 | 257 | 314 | 250 | 161 | 135 | 81 | 49 |
| Not Win | 1,785 | 1,767 | 1,792 | 1,794 | 1,726 | 1,751 | 1,644 | 1,350 | 935 | 504 |
B. If a dependency exists between "winning
(first)" and
"starting position". Find 95% confidence
intervals for
the percentage of winning for each gate.
Hint:
See lesson on confidence intervals for proportions .
| Gate | 95% confidence interval |
| 1 | |
| 2 | |
| 3 | |
| 4 | |
| 5 | |
| 6 | |
| 7 | |
| 8 | |
| 9 | |
| 10 |
C. According to your analysis, which starting position is most probable to produce a winner?
D. Show all four
steps for each hypothesis test needed to test the claim.
At a 0.05 level
of significance, test for the existence of a dependency between starting gate position and
whether a
horse finishes "in the money" (win, place or show" or "out of the
money".)
| Gate | 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 | 9 | 10 |
| In the Money | 820 | 817 | 784 | 758 | 866 | 758 | 539 | 425 | 253 | 144 |
| Not In the Money | 1,232 | 1,235 | 1,268 | 1,293 | 1,174 | 1,243 | 1,266 | 1,060 | 763 | 409 |
E. If a dependency exists between "finish
in the money (win-place-show)" and "starting position".
Find
a 95% confidence intervals for
the percentage of "finishing in the money" for each gate.
| Gate | 95% confidence interval |
| 1 | |
| 2 | |
| 3 | |
| 4 | |
| 5 | |
| 6 | |
| 7 | |
| 8 | |
| 9 | |
| 10 |
F. According to your analysis, which
starting position is most probable to produce a horse
"finishing in the money"?