Project Chi-Square

Is there a dependency between the starting gate position and whether a horse finishes "first" or "in the money"?

Problem I.  
The following data represents the starting gate positions and how the horses finished in terms of Win (first place), Place (second place), or Show (third place). The data (all races ran in 2007) was compiled at
  in Maywood, IL.

Gate

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8 9
Win 182 181 150 181 157 81 47 35 67
Place 178 196 171 137 153 91 69 39 40
Show 142 168 165 132 147 112 101 65 47
Total Starts 1,077 1,077 1,077 1,077 1,077 1,069 1,010 785 429

A.  Show all four steps for each hypothesis test needed to test the claim.  At a 0.05 level
     of significance, test for the existence of this dependency between starting gate position and
     whether a horse finishes "win (first)" or "Not win (not first)".

Gate

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8 9
Win 182 181 150 181 157 81 47 35 67
Not Win 895 896 927 896 920 988 963 750 362

 B.  If a dependency exists between "winning (first)" and "starting position".  Find 95% confidence
      intervals for the percentage of winning for each gate. 
      Hint: 
See lesson on confidence intervals for proportions .

Gate 95% confidence interval 
1  
2  
3  
4  
5  
6  
7  
8  
9  

C.  According to your analysis, which starting position is most probable to produce a winner?

D.   Show all four steps for each hypothesis test needed to test the claim.  At a 0.05 level
      of significance, test for the existence of a dependency between starting gate position and
      whether a horse finishes "in the money" (win, place or show" or "out of the money".)

Gate

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8 9
In the Money 502 545 486 450 457 284 217 139 154
Not In the Money 575 532 591 627 620 785 793 646 266

E.  If a dependency exists between "finish in the money (win-place-show)" and "starting position". 
     Find a 95% confidence intervals for the percentage of "finishing in the money" for each gate.

Gate 95% confidence interval 
1  
2  
3  
4  
5  
6  
7  
8  
9  

F.  According to your analysis, which starting position is most probable to produce a horse
     "finishing in the money"?

Problem II.  
The following data represents the starting gate positions and how the horses finished in terms of Win (first place), Place (second place), or Show (third place). The data (all races ran in 2007) was compiled at
  in Crete, IL.

Gate

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8 9 10
Win 267 285 260 257 314 250 161 135 81 49
Place 281 259 269 241 282 266 172 148 84 50
Show 272 273 255 260 270 242 206 142 88 45
Total Starts 2,052 2,052 2,052 2,051 2,040 2,001 1,805 1,485 1,016 553

A.  Show all four steps for each hypothesis test needed to test the claim.  At a 0.05 level
     of significance, test for the existence of this dependency between starting gate  position and
     whether a horse finishes "win (first)" or "Not win (not first)".

Gate

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8 9 10
Win 267 285 260 257 314 250 161 135 81 49
Not Win 1,785 1,767 1,792 1,794 1,726 1,751 1,644 1,350 935 504

 B.  If a dependency exists between "winning (first)" and "starting position".  Find 95% confidence
      intervals for the percentage of winning for each gate. 
      Hint:  See lesson on confidence intervals for proportions .

Gate 95% confidence interval 
1  
2  
3  
4  
5  
6  
7  
8  
9  
10  

C.  According to your analysis, which starting position is most probable to produce a winner?

D.   Show all four steps for each hypothesis test needed to test the claim.  At a 0.05 level
      of significance, test for the existence of a dependency between starting gate position and
      whether a horse finishes "in the money" (win, place or show" or "out of the money".)

Gate

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8 9 10
In the Money 820 817 784 758 866 758 539 425 253 144
Not In the Money 1,232 1,235 1,268 1,293 1,174 1,243 1,266 1,060 763 409

E.  If a dependency exists between "finish in the money (win-place-show)" and "starting position". 
     Find a 95% confidence intervals for the percentage of "finishing in the money" for each gate.

Gate 95% confidence interval 
1  
2  
3  
4  
5  
6  
7  
8  
9  
10  

F.  According to your analysis, which starting position is most probable to produce a horse
     "finishing in the money"?

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